2026-10-23 · Guardian Business · English source

Britain’s gas security needs reinforcement. Last-minute deals with Belgium are not a proper fix

Real-world example for IB, A-Level, AP and IGCSE Economics essays: Supply shocks, Balance of payments, Supply, demand and prices

What happened

The article notes that even after the Jackdaw gas field was approved, the UK still imports almost 60% of its gas, so its supply must come from abroad and its energy security and resilience remain a concern.

The economics

Heavy reliance on imported gas makes domestic supply sensitive to foreign sources; a disruption or price spike abroad acts as a supply shock that raises energy costs and affects output and inflation. Large energy imports also show up in the trade balance, putting pressure on the current account.

Figures to quote

  • 60%

Evaluation

Yet import dependence is not automatically fragility: diverse sources, long-term contracts and storage can spread risk, while last-minute deals ease a short-term gap but cannot replace building long-term supply capacity.

Practice question

Using the example of the UK importing almost 60% of its gas, analyse how energy import dependence affects an economy's exposure to supply shocks and its balance of payments.

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Where it fits in the syllabus

  • Supply shocks: A sudden change in supply, such as energy, food or supply-chain disruption, that moves prices and output.
  • Balance of payments: A record of a country's transactions with the rest of the world, including the trade balance and capital flows.
  • Supply, demand and prices: How a change in demand or supply in one market moves its equilibrium price and quantity.

中文版

发生了什么

文章指出,尽管北海的Jackdaw气田获批,英国仍进口近60%的天然气,供应必须来自国外,能源安全与韧性存在问题。

经济学角度

英国高度依赖进口天然气,意味着国内供给对海外来源高度敏感;一旦外部供应中断或价格飙升,就构成供给冲击,推高能源成本并影响产出与通胀。同时,大量进口能源也反映在贸易收支上,使经常账户承压。

可以引用的数据

  • 60%

评估角度

但依赖进口并不必然等于脆弱:若进口来源多元、有长期合同和储备设施,风险可被分散;短期应急协议能缓解缺口,却难以替代长期供给能力的建设。

练习题

结合英国进口近60%天然气的例子,分析能源进口依赖对一国供给冲击承受能力和国际收支的影响。

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