2026-10-26 · BBC Business · English source

Healey's Budget needs to sustain the stronger economy through gathering clouds

Real-world example for IB, A-Level, AP and IGCSE Economics essays: Fiscal policy, Economic growth and the business cycle

What happened

The article discusses how Healey's Budget needs to support the economy while growth looks positive now but may become harder by January.

The economics

A budget is a fiscal policy tool: the government can change taxes and spending to influence aggregate demand and support output and employment when the economy weakens. The article also points to the business cycle, since the economy is positive now but conditions could become trickier in January, so policy must prepare for a possible downturn.

Evaluation

Fiscal policy involves time lags, so budget measures may not arrive in time to offset the January risks; and if slower growth comes from external demand or a supply shock, fiscal expansion alone may have limited effect.

Practice question

Using the context of Healey's Budget, discuss the role and limitations of fiscal policy in stabilising the economy when growth slows.

Read the article ↗

Where it fits in the syllabus

  • Fiscal policy: The government changes spending and taxation to influence aggregate demand and economic activity.
  • Economic growth and the business cycle: Long-run growth in real GDP and the short-run swings between expansion and recession, when output falls below potential.

中文版

发生了什么

这篇报道讨论的是,在经济增长势头尚好、但前景可能转弱的背景下,财政大臣 Healey 的预算案需要支撑经济。

经济学角度

预算案属于财政政策工具:政府可以调整税收和政府支出,以影响总需求,并在经济走弱时支撑产出和就业。文章同时点出经济周期问题:当前经济表现积极,但到明年一月情况可能更棘手,说明增长会随周期波动,政策需要提前应对下行风险。

评估角度

财政政策存在时滞,预算措施从宣布到见效需要时间,未必能及时对冲明年一月的风险;此外,如果增长放缓源于外部需求或供给冲击,单靠财政扩张的效果可能有限。

练习题

结合 Healey 预算案的背景,讨论财政政策在经济增长放缓时稳定经济的作用与局限。

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